Matthew Connelly, “What I Learned from Thirty Years at the Bleeding Edge of Historical Research,” H-Diplo Forum on Scholars and Digital Archives: Living the Dream? (The Authors, 2021). p. 6-12
David Allen and Matthew Connelly, “Diplomatic History after the Big Bang: Using Computational Methods to Explore the Infinite Archive,” Explaining the History of American Foreign Relations, 3rd ed., ed. Frank Costigliola and Michael Hogan (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2016)
Matthew Connelly, “The Next Thirty Years of International Relations Research: New Topics, New Methods, and the Challenge of Big Data,” (Les Cahiers IRICE 14: 2015). p. 85-97
On the Use of Computational Methods to Analyze International Relations
Matthew Connelly, Raymond Hicks, Robert Jervis, and Arthur Spirling, “New Evidence and New Methods for Analyzing the Iranian Revolution as an Intelligence Failure,” Intelligence and National Security (July 2021)
Yuanjun Gao, Jonathan Goetz, Matthew Connelly, and Rahul Mazumder “Automated Event Detection with Declassified Diplomatic Documents,” Annals of Applied Statistics (December 2020)
Matthew Connelly, Raymond Hicks, Robert Jervis, Arthur Spirling, Clara Suong, “Diplomatic Documents Data for International Relations: The Freedom of Information Archive Database,” Conflict Management and Peace Science (June 2020)
“Predicting History,” Joseph Risi, Amit Sharma, Rohan Shah, Matthew Connelly, Duncan J. Watts, Nature Human Behaviour, 3 (2019): 906–912.
On Secrecy and Existential Risk
Matthew Connelly, “State Secrecy, Archival Negligence, and the End of History as We Know It,” The Perilous Public Square: Structural Threats to Free Expression Today, ed. David E. Pozen (New York: Columbia University Press, 2020).
Matthew Connelly, Matt Fay, Giulia Ferrini, Micki Kaufman, Will Leonard, Harrison Monsky, Ryan Musto, Taunton Paine, Nicholas Standish, and Lydia Walker, “‘General, I Have Fought Just as Many Nuclear Wars as You Have’: Forecasts, Future Scenarios, and the Politics of Armageddon,” The American Historical Review 117 (December 2012): 1431-1460.
On Population Control
“LBJ and World Population: Planning the Greater Society one Family at a Time,” The United States and the Dawn of the Post-Cold War Era, ed. Mark Lawrence and Frank Gavin (New York: Oxford University Press, 2014)
“Future Shock: The End of the World as they Knew It,” Shock of the Global, ed. Daniel Sargent, Charles Maier, and Niall Ferguson (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2010)
“The Cold War and the Longue Durée: Global Migration, Public Health, and Population Control,” Cambridge History of the Cold War, ed. Melvyn P. Leffler and Odd Arne Westad (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010.)
“Seeing Beyond the State: The Population Control Movement and the Problem of Sovereignty,” Past & Present 193 (December 2006): 197-233.
“Population Control in India: Prologue to the Emergency Period,” Population and Development Review 32 (November 2006): 629-667.
“Population Control is History: New Perspectives on the International Campaign to Limit Population Growth,” Comparative Studies in Society and History 45 (Winter 2003): 122-147.
“To Inherit the Earth: Imagining World Population, from the Yellow Peril to the Population Bomb,” Journal of Global History 1 (November 2006): 299-319.
On the Algerian War
“Rethinking the Cold War and Decolonization: The Grand Strategy of the Algerian War for Independence,” The International Journal of Middle East Studies 33 (May 2001): 221-245, reprinted in European Decolonization, ed. Martin Thomas, (London: Routledge, 2007, 2017).
“Taking off the Cold War Lens: Visions of North-South Conflict During the Algerian War for Independence,” The American Historical Review 105 (June 2000): 739-769.
“The French-American Conflict in North Africa and the Fall of the Fourth Republic,” Revue française d’Histoire d’Outre-mer 84 (June 1997): 9-27.
In Progress
Cameron Averill, Ye Seul Byeon, Matthew Connelly, “What Do Historians Write about When They Write About the History of American Foreign Relations? New Methods for Analyzing Historiography and the Historical Record,” under review by Diplomatic History
Renato Rocha Souza, Flavio Codeço Coelho, Rohan Shah, and Matthew Connelly, “Using Artificial Intelligence to Identify State Secrets,” (pre-print available at ArXiv.org, being revised for resubmission to Big Data & Society)
Donald Casler, Raymond Hicks, and Matthew Connelly, “Trading with the Enemy? How Economic Diplomacy Affects Exports”
Fernando Perez-Cruz, Raymond Hicks, Rohan Shah, and Matthew Connelly, “Setting the Agenda in the Foreign Relations of the United States”